Saturday, May 18, 2013

And The Winner of Eurovision 2013 Is?

The day of the Eurovision Final has finally dawned. 26 countries prepare to do battle in an exciting show from Malmo tonight. But who will emerge the winner? Let's take a look at the finalist tonight.

France
France this year have a nice song but has some have mentioned no one has this down in their top 10. It is a fairly dull song that could go down well with the juries and manage to get to the top of the right hand side of the scoreboard or it could slide well down it.
My Grade: 3/10
Prediction: 21st-26th

Lithuania
Lithuania were certainly the most surprising country to make the final this year. The song is one which I thought would get knocked out in the semi-finals and don't see it going to far tonight.
My Grade: 4.5/10
Prediction: 21st-26th

Moldova
Moldova are always very strong at Eurovision and this year is no different. Aliona is a competent singer and she should do fairly well with the juries tonight. However as she has the third dull song in the opening part of the show I don't think the public are going to support this song enough.
My Grade: 4/10
Prediction: 13th-16th

Finland
I was sickened by the fact I did not put a bet on this to win the semi-final. It was 25/1 on PaddyPower and even an each way bet would have helped the kitty in my mind. I think that this is one of the best songs in this years contest and I think that it may bode well in western Europe. Hard to say how it will go down in the east. I would have said this was certainly going to go top 10 but so many of Finland's neighbours are strong this year that it is hard to say.
My Grade: 8.5/10
Prediction: 9th-12th

Spain
A dull song which is only helped by a nice instrumental at the start this is a strong contender for last place in the contest this year. Sandwiched between Finland and Belgium and with so few neighbours this year I can't see this going far.
My Grade: 4/10
Prediction: 21st-26th

Belgium
Another song that I was surprised to see go through to the final this year. Roberto is certainly way above my expectations of him though they were low enough to begin with. This should do alright for Belgium but it will not be a repeat of 2010. Personally I like the studio version of the song, but not the live one that much.
My Grade: 5/10
Prediction: 17th-20th

Estonia
Deserving of a place in the final, Estonia have a really lovely song this year that I completely fell for during the semi-finals. They're not going to repeat last year, particularly if the northern countries are strong, but they do deserve credit where it is due. Hopefully this will not be at the end of the scoreboard tonight.
My Grade: 5.5/10
Prediction: 17th-20th

Belarus
I didn't really take to the new song that Belarus choose after the Rhythm of Love but I really didn't like the performance of the song on Tuesday night. There's far to much going on during the song and it just is not working for me. However I expect that the neighbour of Belarus will ensure this will not do to badly.
My Grade: 3.5/10
Prediction: 13th-16th

Malta
I don't think there is anyone who really does not like this song. It is wonderful and bouncy and Gianluca is just so happy when he performs it that it deserves to do well. While their running order position will not help them the introduction of drag back voting this year should help them a lot. I really like the song too and wish them the best of luck.
My Grade: 7/10
Prediction: 9th-12th

Russia
Clinical as ever I was really impressed by Russia's semi-final performance and even my good mother thought that this was the best song in semi-final 1. Certainly it is a dark horse on paper, but the poor running order position (followed by Cascada) means that this will at best make 5th place. Which Russia would probably still be happy with.
My Grade: 6.5/10
Prediction: 5th-8th

Germany
What can we say? One word - Cascada. This has all the right ingredients for another German win but I'm not entirely sure how it will fair on the night. It's not the best song that Cascada could have brought to the contest but it is a definite contender for a win.
My Grade: 8/10
Prediction: 1st-4th

Armenia
Armenia did a great performance on the semi-final of this song, certainly it was enough to send Albania home on Thursday and being the only rock song in the final will also play well. Still it is not a great song overall and I could see this quietly move into the top 10. But it could flop too.
My Grade: 3.5/10
Prediction: 9th-12th

The Netherlands
Doing amazingly well to be in the final Netherlands do need to do well tonight to convince the Dutch public they still can do well in the contest. Singing before Romania and just after an ad break will do them no favours but I still think they can manage. I like this song and hope Anouk can do well tonight.
My Grade: 7/10
Prediction: 17th-20th

Romania
This one is really causing me a headache at the moment. There is no reason why this should be allowed to do well yet, if the juries strictly follow their criteria then this is a strong contender. But I still think the shock factor of this song will put some off from voting for it.
My Grade: 2/10
Prediction: 13th-16th

United Kingdom
The internal selection, the fact that they are one of the Big 5 and Engelbert's performance last year really makes it very hard to say how this song will go down. However it is Bonny Tyler and I don't think she will go down without a fight. I think she has a great song and is sure to pick up a few points here and there to lift them out of the bottom of the table.
My Grade: 7.5/10
Prediction: 17th-20th

Sweden
In my humble opinion Sweden  have by far and away the most underrated song in this years contest. Though people in Sweden seem to think that this is a weak effort and will not go down well I think it is a strong song that may do well.
My Grade: 7/10
Prediction: 5th-8th

Hungary
Another surprise to make the final and another song which is a strong contender for last place. I think it is ok but ok just doesn't cut it for the final.
My Grade: 4/10
Prediction: 21st-26th

Denmark
It's favourite, it's my favourite and at this point it looks like in 12 hours time the Eurovision Song Contest will cross the bridge to Copenhagan. The longer this drags out the less sure I am that Denmark are going to win this by a country mile. However someone stopped the Balkans from trading neighbourly points and if it was Denmark they are going to go big.
My Grade: 10/10
Prediction: 1st-4th

Iceland
This is another really strong entry from Iceland this year and one which I expect will not do well on the night. If Greta and Jonsi could not do better than 19th then this is one which sadly will be at the end of the scoreboard tonight.
My Grade: 7/10
Prediction: 21st-26th

Azerbaijan
Another contender for the win, their song is weak but the performance of Hold Me is very interesting and does wonderfully distract from the song. This might convincably win but I really hope that it doesn't. I don't think that the Eurovision brand was helped by bringing the contest to Baku last year.
My Grade: 4.5/10
Prediction: 1st-4th

Greece
Greece is certainly in a much stronger position for the win this year given that there are no Balkans in the final. However Greece has entered with stronger songs that this one  and though I would like to see it outside of the top 10, there will be no stopping this song's success now.
My Grade: 5/10
Prediction: 5th-8th

Ukraine
If anyone can beat Denmark tonight it is Zlata from Ukraine. The performance of this song just blew me away in the first semi-final and the giant, which I though was a terrible idea, actually worked well in the song. Ukraine is another country which may benefit from the absence of the Balkan countries  and if this is true, looking at the order of voting I think Ukraine is a possible winner.
My Grade: 9.5/10
Prediction: 1st-4th

Italy
One of the talked about entries this year, Italy has a very strong San Remo entry this year that may soak up some votes from the juries. However I disagree with the people who argue this is a winner. Unlike 2011 there are many songs that the juries could vote for. This song is not as strong as Italy's 2011 and 2012 entries and is perhaps a bit too San Remo for Eurovision. Therefore I don't see this as a huge challenger.
My Grade: 5.5/10
Prediction: 9th-12th

Norway
I'm going to be really controversial right now and say that I do not believe Norway is going to come within an asses roar of the top 10. This is a song that struggled to beat Bombo in the national final and I think that it is the over hyped song of the year.
My Grade: 4.5/10
Prediction: 21st-26th

Georgia
Georgia has a great entry this year that I really love. Eurovision by numbers but still I just want to be drawn into it and sing. I don't think that this is a strong enough number to win out right, particularly when Azerbaijan is strong this year too, but it could still take points from very promising songs.
My Grade: 9/10
Prediction: 5th-8th

Ireland
Once again despite being mentioned as a winner Ireland should, on cue fall flat on it's face as what tends to happen at Eurovision finals. I can't really comment on this one without being biased one way or the other. So I'll just make a prediction.
Prediction: 13th-16th

So after all that my top 10 songs in this years Eurovision final are:

12 points - Denmark
10 points - Ukraine
8 points - Georgia
7 points - Finland
6 points - Germany
5 points - United Kingdom
4 points - Sweden
3 points - Malta
2 points - Iceland
1 point - The Netherlands

But enough about me, my prediction for the top 10 is as follows.
1. Denmark
2. Ukraine
3. Azerbaijan
4. Germany
5. Greece
6. Russia
7. Georgia
8. Sweden
9. Armenia
10. Finland

3 comments:

  1. Sean.....like your reasoning. I think Russia will be even higher. I know it's cheesy, but a lot of the voters won't know the English lyrics. She sings amazingly well, the tune is good and, actually after the first 8 songs, it's the first decent tune. It will stand out.

    Norway: if that comes 21st to 26th I'll take you out to dinner!! Top 5.

    I too hope the glass box does not do it for the Azeris!

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    Replies
    1. Thanks Mark, I think Russia should do well but I think if there's an east/west divide between Denmark and Ukraine Russia might lose out on just a few points in the final. I expect that the top two will be run aways but the remaining 3rd-7th positions will be separtated by very few points.

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  2. all as expected.....save Ireland......odd that Georgia scored so low. Pleased Germany's fake "euphoria" convinced no one. Also pleased for Malta and Neths!! I am quids in with the bookies!!!

    keep up the blog!!

    ReplyDelete